BayesPerf: Minimizing Performance Monitoring Errors Using Bayesian Statistics

Subho S. Banerjee, Saurabh Jha, Zbigniew T. Kalbarczyk, and Ravishankar K. Iyer



Hardware performance counters (HPCs) that measure low-level architectural and microarchitectural events provide dynamic contextual information about the state of the system. However, HPC measurements are error-prone due to non-determinism (e.g., undercounting due to event multiplexing, or OS interrupt-handling behaviors). In this paper, we present BayesPerf, a system for quantifying uncertainty in HPC measurements by using a domain-driven Bayesian model that captures microarchitectural relationships between HPCs to jointly infer their values as probability distributions. We provide the design and implementation of hardware accelerators that allow for low-latency and low-power inference of the BayesPerf model on Intel x86 and IBM Power9 CPUs. Overall, BayesPerf reduces the average error in HPC measurements from 42.11% to 7.8% when multiplexing events. The BayesPerf accelerator provides 11.8× reduction in power consumption while adding less than 2% read latency overhead relative to native HPC sampling. The value of BayesPerf in real-time decision-making is illustrated with a simple example of the scheduling of PCIe transfers.

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